The most important currency pairs to follow this month

In the Forex world, some currency pairs attract more attention than others due to their liquidity, expected volatility, or macroeconomic importance. This month, starting from August 13, 2025, there are several pairs worth watching. Below are the most relevant ones, along with their key factors and possible scenarios.

1. EUR / USD

One of the most closely watched pairs in the market.

Recent analyses indicate considerable volatility, with an estimated range between 1.1466 and 1.1684 for the coming sessions.

Support levels are seen near 1.1536, with extended downside potential if those levels are broken.

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy and its stance on interest rate cuts will be the main source of movement for this pair throughout the month.

2. GBP / USD

The British pound against the U.S. dollar remains an interesting pair, mainly because it is highly sensitive to decisions by the Bank of England and U.K. macroeconomic data.

Relative calm has been observed recently, but with a slight tendency toward pound strength at certain moments.

The key levels to watch will be potential breakouts above resistance zones, which could serve as a springboard for further gains.

3. AUD / USD

The Australian dollar versus the U.S. dollar is noteworthy due to its dependence on commodities and Asia’s economic performance.

It has been included among the monthly technical watchlist pairs.

Traders should pay close attention to reactions following international trade news, growth indicators, and broader U.S. dollar movements.

4. USD / JPY

The U.S. dollar against the Japanese yen is another classic pair, often influenced by safe-haven flows.

According to August forecasts, it remains one of the most-watched pairs this month.

The Bank of Japan’s stance on interventions or yield curve control could trigger sharp volatility spikes.

5. USD / CAD

The U.S. dollar versus the Canadian dollar is particularly sensitive to oil price movements (since Canada is a major energy exporter) and monetary policy decisions in North America.

It appears on several watchlists for August 2025 as a key pair to monitor.

The correlation between oil prices and the strength of the CAD may act as a decisive catalyst.

Key Factors Driving the Market This Month

  • Monetary policy / interest rates:
    Decisions or statements from central banks (Fed, BoJ, BoE) will be major volatility triggers.

  • Macroeconomic data:
    Indicators such as inflation, GDP, employment, and industrial production could cause sharp movements.

  • Global events and geopolitics:
    Trade tensions, international agreements, and conflicts can disrupt capital flows.

  • Summer liquidity:
    During the summer months, lower market activity often amplifies price movements, especially after unexpected news.

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